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The original stone wool and finished product prices upside down jadeite collection is at the right time
Currently, the jade stone raw material market is experiencing a price inversion, where finished jade products are cheaper than the raw materials. Experts believe that this imbalance will self-correct within two years, after which the value of jadeite finished products is expected to surge significantly. If you missed the chance to purchase high-quality jade ten years ago, what would you do now, given the current price discrepancy between raw and finished jade? The following expert interview provides an in-depth analysis of the current jade market.
**Interviewer:** Hello, Mr. Zhou. Many jadeite finished products are currently priced lower than raw materials. What causes this unusual situation?
**Zhou Jian:** This phenomenon, where raw jade is more expensive than finished products, is similar to the "bread being pricier than flour" scenario observed in Yangon, Myanmar, in March 2010. It’s the first such anomaly in the jade market in centuries. The reasons behind this include: 1. The global economy has started to recover, with emerging markets like China becoming the main driver of economic growth. China’s booming economy, thriving business environment, and vibrant tourism have created a society full of prosperity and unity, often described as “a prosperous China, with flourishing times.†People today have a strong desire for high-value jadeite, leading to a geometric increase in demand. 2. The production areas of jadeite raw materials are suffering from excessive, chaotic, and destructive mining practices. Thousands of excavators and trucks are constantly at work, with construction equipment usage surpassing that of the Three Gorges Dam. Within 10 years, these resources may be depleted. 3. Major investors, collectors, and some real estate entrepreneurs are aggressively competing for raw materials, especially top-grade jadeite. Yunnan and other regions have invested heavily in this resource battle, driving up the price of raw jade. Eventually, the market will correct itself, and after two years, we can expect a significant rise in the prices of finished jade products.
**Interviewer:** Why do you believe the price gap will automatically resolve in two years?
**Zhou Jian:** The process of turning raw jade into finished products typically takes two months to two years. Many merchants prefer to hold onto their raw stones rather than rush into production, waiting for the right market moment. There is still a lot of inventory in the market. Once this stock is absorbed, the high-priced raw stones will quickly be transformed into finished products. This is a natural market response, and the balance between raw and finished product prices will eventually restore itself. As a result, finished jade products will be far more valuable than raw stones, determined by market forces, not personal desires. Therefore, now is the best time for buyers, collectors, or jade lovers to enter the finished product market — it might be the last opportunity.
**Interviewer:** How can buyers or collectors ensure they are purchasing genuine, high-value jadeite?
**Zhou Jian:** For Chinese people, jade embodies both beauty and cultural significance. Its diverse styles and exquisite craftsmanship offer a visual and emotional experience. However, due to its high value, many imitations exist, using low-quality materials treated chemically or physically to mimic high-grade jade. These fakes can cause lasting disappointment for collectors.
To avoid this, buyers should look for reputable dealers who are members of recognized associations such as the Asian Jewelry Association or the China Gem and Jade Association. These merchants prioritize reputation and maintain long-term relationships with suppliers. They also have their own processing plants and distribution networks, allowing them to offer better value and security for high-quality jade.
**Interviewer:** What are common misconceptions about collecting jadeite?
**Zhou Jian:** Over the past 20 years, I’ve met many collectors who share similar misunderstandings. First, some focus only on quantity, buying large quantities of jade without quality. Second, many prioritize color over other important factors like clarity, texture, and craftsmanship. In reality, the "species," "water," and "workmanship" are the most crucial elements. Color is just a bonus. My advice is to buy the best quality you can afford. For those with the means, "species, water, color, work, and weight" are the ideal criteria.
**Interviewer:** Why do jade beads, pendants, and bracelets have greater appreciation potential?
**Zhou Jian:** There are two main reasons. First, these items are considered the most precious among all jade products, making them highly desirable. Second, their production requires the highest quality raw materials, which increases their inherent value and makes them even more attractive for investment.
**Interviewer:** How should one approach collecting raw jade stones?
**Zhou Jian:** Collecting raw jade is a high-risk endeavor. Unless you’re an experienced professional, it's best to avoid it. Unlike finished products, raw stones are hard to evaluate without expertise. Even seasoned collectors must be cautious when opening a skylight (a cut on the surface). Surface color can be misleading, and many buyers end up with "paste green" — jade that appears green on the outside but lacks color inside. Always proceed with caution and seek professional guidance if necessary.
**Expert Profile:**
Zhou Jian is a Senior Geological Jewellery Expert, Senior Geological Engineer, Asian Jewellery Master, GAC Jeweller, Vice President of the Asian Jewellery Federation, Standing Director of the China Gem and Jade Association, Director of the Asian Jewellery Federation Jade Museum, Executive Director of the Pingzhou Jade Association, and Chairman of Guangzhou Ganchao Jewelry Co., Ltd.