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The original stone wool and finished product prices upside down jadeite collection is at the right time
At present, the jade market is experiencing a peculiar situation where raw materials are more expensive than finished products. However, experts believe that this imbalance will naturally correct itself within two years, after which the price of jadeite finished goods is expected to rise significantly. If you missed the chance to buy quality jade ten years ago, what would you do now, given the current mismatch in prices between raw and finished jade? The following expert discussion will provide a detailed analysis of the jade market.
**Reporter:** Hello, Mr. Zhou. Many jadeite finished products are currently cheaper than raw materials. What's causing this unusual price inversion?
**Mr. Zhou Jian:** This phenomenon, where raw material is more expensive than finished products, is not new. It first appeared in Yangon, Myanmar, in March 2010. This is the first such occurrence in the jade market in hundreds of years. Several factors have contributed to this situation:
1. The global economy has started to recover, with emerging markets like China becoming the main driver of growth. In today’s China, economic development, business activity, and tourism are booming, leading to a society that is harmonious and prosperous. People have a deep appreciation for high-quality jadeite, driving demand exponentially.
2. The production areas of jadeite raw materials are being exploited recklessly and destructively. Thousands of excavators and trucks are constantly at work, with machinery usage surpassing even that of the Three Gorges Dam. Within 20 years, these resources may be depleted in just 10.
3. Large amounts of capital from wealthy individuals, collectors, and even real estate investors are pouring into the raw material market, sparking fierce competition for resources—especially among top players in the jade industry. Yunnan and other regions have invested heavily in securing these resources, pushing up the price of raw jade.
This abnormal price inversion will eventually self-correct as the market evolves. In two years, the price of finished jade products is expected to surge significantly.
**Reporter:** Why do you believe the price gap will be automatically corrected after two years?
**Mr. Zhou Jian:** The process of turning raw jade into finished products typically takes between two months and two years. Many merchants choose to hold onto their raw stones rather than rush into production, waiting for the right market conditions. There is still a lot of inventory in the market, and it will take time for this to be absorbed.
Once the market digests the excess supply, the high-priced raw stones will quickly be transformed into finished products. This is a natural market response, and the balance between raw and finished product prices will restore itself. As a result, the value of finished jade will far exceed that of raw material, driven by market forces rather than individual preferences. Therefore, now is the best time for buyers, collectors, and jade lovers to enter the finished product market—it may also be the last opportunity.
**Reporter:** Where can buyers or collectors find genuine, valuable jadeite?
**Mr. Zhou Jian:** Jade is not only beautiful but also deeply rooted in Chinese culture, offering significant appreciation potential. High-grade emerald prices have grown faster than diamonds, gold, and even ancient artifacts. However, due to its popularity, many imitations exist—often low-grade jade treated chemically or physically to mimic high-quality pieces.
To avoid falling victim to fakes, buyers should seek out reputable dealers who are members of recognized associations such as the Asian Jewelry Association or the China Gem and Jade Association. These established businesses prioritize reputation and have long-term storage of high-quality raw materials, along with their own processing facilities. Their costs are lower, and they offer greater security for collectors.
**Reporter:** What are common misunderstandings when collecting jadeite?
**Mr. Zhou Jian:** Many collectors focus on quantity over quality, buying large quantities of low-grade jade without realizing they're acquiring poor-quality items. Others place too much emphasis on color while neglecting the importance of clarity, texture, and craftsmanship.
True value in jadeite lies in its species, water content, luster, and workmanship—not just color. I recommend buyers focus on quality rather than just aesthetics. For those with the means, “species, water, color, work, and weight†are the ideal criteria. As the saying goes, “Having an emerald at home today means Sun Wan might dump the land tomorrow.†High-quality jade is not just a possession—it's a symbol of taste and status.
**Reporter:** Why do jade beads, pendants, and bracelets have greater appreciation potential?
**Mr. Zhou Jian:** There are two main reasons: First, these items are considered the most precious among all jade products. Second, their production requires high-quality raw material, making them more valuable and offering stronger appreciation potential.
**Reporter:** How should one approach collecting raw jade?
**Mr. Zhou Jian:** Collecting raw jade is risky and not recommended for beginners. Unlike finished products, raw stones can hide flaws that are hard to detect without expertise. If you’ve already "opened the skylight" (a term used for cutting open a stone), be cautious—the color and water may be misleading. Novices often fall for "paste green," where only the surface appears green, but there's no real color inside. Always consult experts before investing in raw jade.
Mr. Zhou Jian is a Senior Geological Jewellery Expert, Senior Geological Engineer, Asian Jewellery Master, GAC Jeweller, Vice President of the Asian Jewellery Federation, Standing Director of the China Gem and Jade Association, Director of the Asian Jewellery Federation Jade Museum, Executive Director of the Pingzhou Jade Association, and Chairman of Guangzhou Ganchao Jewelry Co., Ltd.